Calculating Expected Goals (xG) Using data from UnderStat to figure out the number of expected goals, I divide the number shots by location by the number of games played. The predictions from this section are created using an advanced system that learns from each past result to come with different betting tips for markets like final result, over/under, number of goals, goal scorers among other. Champions League: RB Leipzig v Tottenham preview BILLY BUNTER 7:00am Tuesday, 10 Mar, 2020; FA Cup: Derby v Manchester United preview BILLY BUNTER 7:00am Thursday, 5 Mar, 2020; FA Cup: Sheffield Wednesday v Man City preview BILLY BUNTER 7:00am Wednesday, 4 Mar, 2020; FA Cup: Chelsea v Liverpool preview BILLY BUNTER 7:00am Tuesday, 3 Mar, 2020; EFL Cup final: … Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks. For users 18+. If you have any questions, thoughts or feedback please don't hesitate to get in touch.Follow FootyStats on the following channels to make sure you never miss a stat, pick or new feature.Our content is not intended for an audience under 18 years of age. Find stats for 1,400+ competitions, compare odds from 40+ bookmakers with odds comparison tool. The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read. I take 0.34 divided by 2, then I add 0.17 xG to the Home Team and subtract 0.17 xG from the away team, to not effect the total amount of expected goals.If we use this formula for each location for each team and add +0.17 xG for the Home team (Dortmund) and -0.17 xG for the Away Team (Schalke 04) you get the following expected goals by location for each team:Once I have the expected goals for each team, I use poisson distribution to calculate the probability of each team winning and the possibility of a draw.If you would like to read more about poisson distribution, The Poisson Distribution returns the following win probabilities:I then compare my lines calculated above to the actual line to find the expected value. In short, BetExplorer lets you explore your bet by browsing stats and fixtures, find the bookmaker offering highest odds and then follow your selections live in the Livescore section. All stats are taken from currently active leagues. For anybody who has watched European soccer over the past five years you’ve probably seen something about expected goals. Below we have created a list of online bookmakers recommended for users in different markets.Yes. The stats we provide at FootyStats are here to help you make more money through football betting. Time limits and T&Cs apply. At the same time, these predictions listed in this section and on each individual competition page come with no guarantee. Analysis includes looking over stats and reading news related to the participants to make a general idea of whom will have a good chance of winning. See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games. We cover 750+ soccer … Above football betting tips are created for the 1X2 market, or Win-Draw-Win (Home-Draw-Away) for the final of each match. Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks. Our site cannot work without cookies, so by using our services, you agree to our use of cookies. Find the best bet by browsing upcoming soccer, tennis, hockey, basketball, handball, volleyball and baseball fixtures, results & other sport statistics. As in investments, putting all your eggs in one basket is not recommended. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Check out Brad Cunningham's story about how to use expected goals to learn how to bet on soccer for the Bundesliga's return on Saturday, May 16. At the same time, these predictions listed in this section and on each individual competition page come with no guarantee. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions. The good side of that bet is that you don’t need to wait until the end of the 1st half to get winnings cashed out. World's most in-depth Football Stats / Soccer Stats site. Learn more. The formula for that is (My Line – Sportsbook Line).Expected goals has become the most popular advanced stat used in predicting soccer matches over the past few years. Livescore tool links to soccer (football), tennis, hockey, basketball, handball, volleyball & baseball scores. Bet Responsibly!

Detailed football statistics for the Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, and other top leagues in the world. Form there, I am able to figure out the xGF and xGA per game by shot location:Once I have the number of expected goals per game by location, I take each teams’ xGF times the opponent’s xGA for each location divided by the average for each location:((Dortmund xGF Zone 1 x Schalke 04 Zone 1 xGA)/(Zone 1 xG Average)) = Dortmund Zone 1 xGOnce I have the total amount of expected goals, I adjust each team’s expected goals for home field advantage. Cookies help us deliver, improve and enhance our services. For penalties, the standard used is 0.76 xG, since the amount of penalties for a team is up to judgement of a ref.A couple of very helpful websites for advanced soccer stats that I use are Using data from UnderStat to figure out the number of expected goals, I divide the number shots by location by the number of games played. Our site cannot work without cookies, so by using our services, you agree to our use of cookies. All those options express payoffs for a $100 bet. Football tips listed here are for today’s matches, with more details when viewing each individual competition. The predictions listed here are created using that vast amount of data, analyzed by our advanced prediction system to come up with real result probabilities.Claiming that soccer predictions are guaranteed are not our thing. OK.

The most many do is offer back the fee you paid to get the prediction, which is not really a guarantee for the quality of the soccer prediction.Winning on soccer bets is not easy nor difficult.